The Dems--Put Up Or Shut Up
I have tried to keep this place fairly apolitical but since politics overshadows much, if not all we do you have to address it once in a while. Found this column which is actually pretty good http://finance.yahoo.com/columnist/article/economist/17544
First a disclaimer--the Dems scare the hell out of me. Haven't cut taxes since Kennedy was president, got us into Vietnam, and, worst of all, have absolutely no concept of economics. Every time I think about cutting a Dem some slack I remember the last time I did that was with Jimmy Carter and he turned out to be the worst, absolutely the worst.
But they do control the Congress though it will be doubtful if they can do anything significant since they need 60 votes in the Senate to pass anything with real meat on it. BUT just maybe they can and this author has some pretty good ideas.
First the set up---
The Democrats, having won control of both the House and the Senate, are eagerly "dancing in the end zone" and "measuring for curtains," to use President Bush's metaphors.
The excitement may be short-lived. If there's any political bunch capable of falling off the stepladder and injuring themselves while measuring for curtains, it's the Democrats.
Ok, enough shots, let's get serious.
The main thing the Democrats have going for them at the moment is that they're not Republicans. That worked for the midterm elections, but it's no strategy for governing, or for winning the White House in 2008.
Going forward, the Democrats need two things: a strategy for Iraq and an economic playbook. I have some suggestions for the latter.
1) The Republicans have dug th country into a large fiscal hole.
2) The Democrats have no coherent economic philosophy.
- Let's grant the Democrats the laudable goal of making life better for working people and the disadvantaged. Here's the problem: Most of the policies they propose for doing that lie somewhere between impractical and just plain wrong.
- You can't claim that education is your No. 1 priority while pandering to teachers unions. Nor can you fight against international trade when the evidence is clear that it creates wealth and profoundly improves the lives of people in poor countries.
- (And, in the short term, trade makes possible all those cheap goods at Wal-Mart that stretch the paychecks of the people the party is supposed to represent.)
- Raising the minimum wage? Yes, it will make a lot of people better off -- and it will speed up the process of outsourcing and automation, which will make a lot of other people worse off. Raising the minimum wage is not an economic plan for making the nation more productive; at best, it's a transfer of wealth, and not even the most efficient way of doing that.
Here's the game plan--
A Saner Roadmap
- Be the party that passes out blankets in the wake of "creative destruction."
Vibrant economies destroy jobs constantly -- through competition, automation, and trade. Trying to stop any of that is a fool's errand. But cushioning the blow is a noble goal.
Don't fight to protect jobs; fight to prepare people for the jobs that are being created. And when someone creates a better mousetrap, offer a decent safety net to the people who manufactured the old one.
- Embrace "environmental incentives."
OK, I'll admit this is just a more attractive way of packaging the idea of "green taxes," which raise revenue by taxing some polluting activity -- anything from dumping trash to emitting carbon.
It's fair: polluters pay more. It creates a powerful incentive to do less of whatever activity is being taxed. And it raises revenue, which can be used to cut some other tax, or to start digging out of the aforementioned fiscal hole. Given the Republicans' foot-dragging on climate change, the Democrats should own the environmental issue. This is the most sensible and elegant way to do it.
- Offer up more school choice for low-income students in exchange for more federal money.
The big, urban school systems are the last great monopolies; by and large, that's how they function. I'm not convinced that school choice is a panacea; the data from places where it's been tried are tepid at best. A voucher won't make all the problems that poor students bring to school with them go away.
But I do strongly believe that people and institutions respond to incentives, and the incentives created by a choice system are better than the incentives created by a huge public monopoly.
The Republicans have rightfully been arguing for more choice for a long time. So to give them what they want, the Democrats should exact a price: more federal money for urban school systems willing to embrace choice.
To my mind, that's at least a start on our urban education problems -- more resources and better incentives.
- Don't do anything major on health care.
Yes, it's a huge problem, and arguably America's most significant economic challenge. But health care is so big, and so complex, that it should be the focus of the 2008 presidential campaign.
When we do something on health care (I no longer believe it is an "if"), a new president is going to have to arrive in the White House with a strong and specific mandate for reform.
For the record, I don't think the Democrats own this issue. They're prone to paralyzing internal warfare over whether health care reform should modify the status quo or adopt a single-payer system, like Canada or Britain.
The Republicans don't have the single-payer problem. Any moderate Republican plan would attract a lot of Democratic votes -- and the support of many healthcare stakeholders scared to death (or at least to ill health) of what the Democrats might do to them instead. It's the domestic policy equivalent of Nixon going to China.
The Democrats have their heart in the right place. Now it's just a question of engaging their brains.
Ain't going to happen. If it did the Dems would own Washington.
As a recent grad, I've really enjoyed your blog. However, the tone of these types of posts bugs me. Neither democrats, nor republicans are all right or all wrong. Both sides have valid ideas. We need to work to find a middle ground that benefits most people. No more of this childish, "They are all wrong, nyah, nyah, nyah" stuff, that gets nothing accomplished.
Posted by: S | January 21, 2007 at 09:04 PM
So the democrats scare you eh? Why don't you go back and compare how the American economy performed during the last century under republican vs democratic majorities. The economy has done much better under the democrats than the republicans. It was democratic policies and unions that built a middle class in this country.
Posted by: Flush Limpball | January 18, 2007 at 08:14 PM